![]() ![]() Debt on the riseDebt build-up accelerated in the wake of the 2008-2009 global financial crisis (GFC). And the World Bank’s International Debt Report highlighted rising debt-related risks for all developing economies-low- as well as middle-income economies. Anis ChowdhuryIn early December, an opinion piece in The New York Times headlined, “Defaults Loom as Poor Countries Face an Economic Storm”. Opinion by Anis Chowdhury (sydney)Friday, January 27, 2023Inter Press ServiceSYDNEY, Jan 27 (IPS) - As the year 2022 drew to an end, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) warned, “Developing countries face ‘impossible trade-off’ on debt”, that spiralling debt in low and middle-income countries (LMICs) has compromised their chances of sustainable development. Analysts will explain the reason for the price change later!ĭisclosure: I don’t own IDBI Bank shares. I feel investors will find value in IDBI Bank. I want to make one prediction - it will be the turn of IDBI Bank to surge. Those who were writing off PSU banks two weeks ago are finding value in them now. Most market analysts predictably reason the price movements and align their views after the rise or fall actually happens. Now that most of the Indian stocks are steeply valued, I feel it could be the turn of IDBI Bank to move up.īelieve me. Stock markets worldwide are known for sector rotation, both during bull runs and bear-grips. What should investors do now with IDBI Bank stock? And the stock has not been going anywhere in recent months. But investors do not appear keen on buying the government’s optimism. ![]() Now the government sounds serious about its privatization efforts. If you had bought the shares around Rs 200 levels some 10 years ago, over 80 percent of your investment would have eroded by now. However, the net NPAs showed a remarkable recovery to 1.94 % against 5.94% a year ago.īut IDBI Bank is in the same league as smaller PSU banks in terms of bad loans and underperformance of the stock. Despite its elevated levels, it was better than last year when the number stood at 28.72%. In the third quarter of the current financial year, the bank reported a 23.52% gross NPA. But it’s difficult to do so, considering its non-performing assets (NPAs). Sitharaman practically reiterated the government’s intention to offload its stake in the lender to private players. The stock is currently ruling at almost half of the price at which the Government of India sold the controlling stake in the bank to the life insurance major. Yet it is technically considered a private sector bank, as the state-owned LIC holds the controlling stock. The government directly or indirectly holds a 98 percent stake in the bank. In the whole melee, one stock relatively underperformed its peers. So, all the probable candidates for privatization looked up, partly fueled by unconfirmed media reports. This kept investors guessing and speculating. One of the reasons for their stupendous run in the last one week could be that Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said two PSU banks, apart from IDBI Bank, would be privatized, without actually naming them. If you had last seen the share prices of the Central Bank of India, Indian Overseas Bank, and Bank of Maharashtra last month, probably you cannot recognize them now, despite their pullback on the last trading day of the last week. Nothing has changed overnight, except for the stock prices. But investors suddenly found value in the stocks, which took off after the February 1 Union Budget. The major concern is their elevated levels of Non-Performing Assets (NPAs). But many analysts have dismissed the attractive valuations, saying they are cheap because they deserve to be so. So what to buy next? PSU banks still look undervalued. It seems most of the stocks look fully valued going by the earning prospects. ![]()
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